Musings on Investing

Idols without Conscience

From my last musings, I continue the story of my life in engineering college in India (late 1980s). India today, if you are curious, is even more superstitious than it was then—modern technology has not enlightened people but only sharpened their irrationalities, leaving its benefits largely wasted or turned negative:

On Investments

Many people ask me about arbitrage investments. What follows is a newly released, reworked version of an old talk I did with Mining Stock Education:

As mining equities rise in value, I look for safe harbor in arbitrage opportunities—not only in the mining sector but across the broader market. Often, I can avoid putting up cash entirely by selling put options at or just below the arbitrage value, timed to the merger’s expected close if the payout is in stock, or as long-dated as possible if it’s in cash. In the latter case, I collect the richest premiums, and the options expire with the merger anyway.

Here are some current arbitrage opportunities:

  • Nuclear Fuels (NF; $0.335): Offers an 18% upside, with the merger expected to close within a day or two. The annualized upside is absurd—higher than even the worst inflation Zimbabwe ever suffered. I added more yesterday at $0.335.
  • Canadian Gold (CGC; $0.35): Offers a 16% upside at its latest price of $0.365. Since the acquiring company, MUX, is highly volatile, I prefer to accumulate closer to $0.35.
  • EMX Royalty (EMX; $5.72): Offers a 10% upside. With liquid stocks, the spread usually closes in days. In this case, it isn’t closing, as many are selling after doing very well in EMX. I’m buying more—9% is still on the table. Annualized through end-2025, the upside is ~40%.

I hope to have the videos of the recently concluded Capitalism & Morality seminar uploaded over the next few weeks.

Jayant Bhandari

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